States Where Violent Crime Rose, 2015-2025
About This Dataset
States Where Violent Crime Rose, 2015-2025
What this chart shows. The 8 US states where the violent crime rate was higher in 2025 than in 2015, and by how much, in the FBI's estimates. Vermont had the largest rise, 79.7 per cent, from 119.3 to 214.4 violent crimes per 100,000 residents, followed by Colorado at 32.4 per cent and Montana at 18.6 per cent. In the other 43 places the rate fell, and nationally it fell 12.3 per cent, from 373.7 to 327.6.
How the data is collected. Each value compares a state's violent crime rate in 2025 with its rate in 2015, both from the FBI's estimated crime file. Violent crime is the sum of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape, robbery and aggravated assault.
Background. The states that rose are Vermont, Colorado, Montana, Oregon, Kansas, Virginia, California and Arkansas. In all eight, aggravated assault, the largest part of violent crime, accounted for more than half of the increase; nationally aggravated assault was almost unchanged over the decade while robbery more than halved.
Limits. Vermont starts from a low base: even after its rise its rate, 214.4, is below the national 327.6. The FBI's estimates for both years are revised figures, so they can differ from the ones first published at the time.
How the data is collected. Each value compares a state's violent crime rate in 2025 with its rate in 2015, both from the FBI's estimated crime file. Violent crime is the sum of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, rape, robbery and aggravated assault.
Background. The states that rose are Vermont, Colorado, Montana, Oregon, Kansas, Virginia, California and Arkansas. In all eight, aggravated assault, the largest part of violent crime, accounted for more than half of the increase; nationally aggravated assault was almost unchanged over the decade while robbery more than halved.
Limits. Vermont starts from a low base: even after its rise its rate, 214.4, is below the national 327.6. The FBI's estimates for both years are revised figures, so they can differ from the ones first published at the time.
Analysis
Five of the eight, Colorado, Montana, Kansas, California and Arkansas, had 2025 rates above the national 327.6; Colorado rose furthest among them, from 318.4 to 421.7. The smallest rise was in Arkansas, 0.4 per cent.
Key Findings
🏆
Vermont leads in Rise in Violent Crime Rate since 2015 (%) with 79.70.
📊
Average Rise in Violent Crime Rate since 2015 (%): 21.04 · median: 16.50.
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Gap: Vermont is 199.3× larger than Arkansas.
Data Insights
Numbers, trends & sources behind this chart
Methodology & source
- Data source
- FBI Crime Data Explorer (Summary Reporting System estimates)
- Coverage
- 8 entities · 2015-2025 · 8 observations
- Measure
- Rise in Violent Crime Rate since 2015 (%)
- Last updated
- 29 September 2026
- Compiled by
- The ANYSTAT team, from the source above
How the figures are calculated
- Values are shown as reported by the source. Nothing is rescaled, rebased or converted — the only changes are thousand separators and decimals shown to two places.
- Entities are ranked highest-first on their value.
An article using this data
Is Crime Going Down? Burglary Fell 61% Across the US Since 2015, but Violent Crime Rose in 8 States
Comparing the FBI's estimates for 2015 and 2025, burglary fell 60.9% and robbery 51.7% nationally, and both fell in every state. Violent crime fell 12.3% but ro...
Data Sources & References
All external sources cited in this dataset
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